|By Udayan Banerjee||
|September 13, 2013 10:30 PM EDT||
Here is a summary of the Gartner Hype Cycle for “Emerging Technologies” for 2012 – what is stated explicitly, what can be inferred.
This Hype Cycle is suppose provide insight into emerging technologies that have broad, cross-industry relevance, and are transformational and high impact in potential.
Most crowded hype cycle on emerging technologies in last 10 years
48 technologies are listed in this year’s hype cycle which is the highest in last ten years. Last year they had 42 – year 2008 was the lowest (27) – year 2005 was the previous highest (44).
What does this imply?
May be Gartner is right when it says:
We are at an interesting moment — a time when the scenarios we’ve been talking about for a long time are almost becoming reality.
Which macro trends are stated explicitly in the report?
- Any Channel, Any Device, Anywhere — Bring Your Own Everything
- Smarter Things – things are smart and connected to the Internet
- Big Data and Global-Scale Computing at Small Prices
- The Human Way to Interact with Technology – speech, gesture etc.
- What Payment Could Really Become – NFC, Mobile OTA etc.
- The Voice of the Customer Is on File – making sense of behavior data already available
- 3D Print It at Home
But if you look closely at the 48 technologies listed in the hype-cycle you will notice that…
It is all about Consumerization and Hyper-connectivity
As you may know, Consumerization of IT describes the trend where technologies are adopted by consumer ahead of enterprise & government.
Hyper-connectivity is about connecting everything us-to-internet; things-to-internet; peer-to-peer; consumer-to-enterprise; enterprise-to-enterprise… and so on.
Out of the 48 technologies in the hype-cycle…
…14 are technologies for reaching out or interacting with consumers
- Application Stores
- Augmented Reality
- Consumer Telematics
- Home Health Monitoring
- Internet TV
- Media Tablets
- Mobile OTA Payment
- NFC Payment
- Virtual Worlds
What is “Consumerization” doing in the list of technologies? It is not a technology – it is a trend.
…8 are about analyzing, understanding and taking advantage of consumer behavior
- Activity Streams
- Big Data
- Complex-Event Processing
- In-Memory Analytics
- Predictive Analytics
- Social Analytics
- Text Analytics
…3 are about connecting things
- Internet of Things
- Machine-to-Machine Communication Services
- Mesh Networks: Sensor
Is AI and Robotics nearing the Tipping Point?
For years both AI and Robotics have promised a lot but the reality has been far removed from the promise. Are we finally reaching a stage where we will see all the Sci-Fi turn into reality?
…10 of the technologies listed fall into this category
- Audio Mining/Speech Analytics
- Automatic Content Recognition
- Autonomous Vehicles
- Biometric Authentication Methods
- Gesture Control
- Human Augmentation
- Mobile Robots
- Natural-Language Question Answering
- Speech Recognition
- Speech-to-Speech Translation
What about technologies for improving efficiency or for reducing cost?
Even if you consider “Cloud Computing” technologies capable of improving efficiency or reducing cost, you have only…
…6 technologies listed under this category!
- Cloud Computing
- Hosted Virtual Desktops
- Hybrid Cloud Computing
- Idea Management
- In-Memory Database Management Systems
- Private Cloud Computing
Clear indication that we have reached a level of saturation on how much improvement we can achieve by just looking inwards.
Why has “Idea Management” appeared in the hype cycle for last 6 years and “Agile Methodologies” have never found a place?
After all both are process / methodology and you will agree that Agile has much larger impact and adoption than Idea Management.
What about the rest?
This leaves us with only…
…7 miscellaneous technologies – most of them very futuristic in nature
- 3D Bio-printing
- 3D Printing
- 3D Scanners
- Quantum Computing
- Silicon Anode Batteries
- Volumetric and Holographic Displays
- Wireless Power
What about the Priority Matrix?
Only technology listed under “Transformational impact in next 2 years” is Media Tablet, which is the term Gartner uses for iPad and other similar tablets.
Big Data, Cloud Computing, Gesture Control and In-Memory DBMS are listed under “Transformational impact in 2 to 5 years”. “Cloud Computing” is appearing under this category for last 5 years (from 2008). So, it is high time somebody asks the question…
Is the impact of cloud computing ever going to be transformational?
How consistent is this year’s hype-cycle compared to previous years?
% of technologies mentioned in the previous year’s hype-cycle
% of technologies mentioned in any in any hype-cycle since 2003
As you can see from this table – it is much more consistent compared to previous years!
As organizations shift toward IT-as-a-service models, the need for managing and protecting data residing across physical, virtual, and now cloud environments grows with it. CommVault can ensure protection &E-Discovery of your data – whether in a private cloud, a Service Provider delivered public cloud, or a hybrid cloud environment – across the heterogeneous enterprise. In his session at 16th Cloud Expo, Randy De Meno, Chief Technologist - Windows Products and Microsoft Partnerships, will disc...
Mar. 2, 2015 09:45 PM EST Reads: 516
Cloud data governance was previously an avoided function when cloud deployments were relatively small. With the rapid adoption in public cloud – both rogue and sanctioned, it’s not uncommon to find regulated data dumped into public cloud and unprotected. This is why enterprises and cloud providers alike need to embrace a cloud data governance function and map policies, processes and technology controls accordingly. In her session at 15th Cloud Expo, Evelyn de Souza, Data Privacy and Compliance...
Mar. 2, 2015 09:30 PM EST Reads: 609
Hadoop as a Service (as offered by handful of niche vendors now) is a cloud computing solution that makes medium and large-scale data processing accessible, easy, fast and inexpensive. In his session at Big Data Expo, Kumar Ramamurthy, Vice President and Chief Technologist, EIM & Big Data, at Virtusa, will discuss how this is achieved by eliminating the operational challenges of running Hadoop, so one can focus on business growth. The fragmented Hadoop distribution world and various PaaS soluti...
Mar. 2, 2015 09:30 PM EST Reads: 486
The Workspace-as-a-Service (WaaS) market will grow to $6.4B by 2018. In his session at 16th Cloud Expo, Seth Bostock, CEO of IndependenceIT, will begin by walking the audience through the evolution of Workspace as-a-Service, where it is now vs. where it going. To look beyond the desktop we must understand exactly what WaaS is, who the users are, and where it is going in the future. IT departments, ISVs and service providers must look to workflow and automation capabilities to adapt to growing ...
Mar. 2, 2015 09:00 PM EST Reads: 487
There are many considerations when moving applications from on-premise to cloud. It is critical to understand the benefits and also challenges of this migration. A successful migration will result in lower Total Cost of Ownership, yet offer the same or higher level of robustness. In his session at 15th Cloud Expo, Michael Meiner, an Engineering Director at Oracle, Corporation, will analyze a range of cloud offerings (IaaS, PaaS, SaaS) and discuss the benefits/challenges of migrating to each of...
Mar. 2, 2015 08:30 PM EST Reads: 638
Platform-as-a-Service (PaaS) is a technology designed to make DevOps easier and allow developers to focus on application development. The PaaS takes care of provisioning, scaling, HA, and other cloud management aspects. Apache Stratos is a PaaS codebase developed in Apache and designed to create a highly productive developer environment while also supporting powerful deployment options. Integration with the Docker platform, CoreOS Linux distribution, and Kubernetes container management system ...
Mar. 2, 2015 07:45 PM EST Reads: 634
Containers and microservices have become topics of intense interest throughout the cloud developer and enterprise IT communities. Accordingly, attendees at the upcoming 16th Cloud Expo at the Javits Center in New York June 9-11 will find fresh new content in a new track called PaaS | Containers & Microservices Containers are not being considered for the first time by the cloud community, but a current era of re-consideration has pushed them to the top of the cloud agenda. With the launch ...
Mar. 2, 2015 07:15 PM EST Reads: 781
VictorOps is making on-call suck less with the only collaborative alert management platform on the market. With easy on-call scheduling management, a real-time incident timeline that gives you contextual relevance around your alerts and powerful reporting features that make post-mortems more effective, VictorOps helps your IT/DevOps team solve problems faster.
Mar. 2, 2015 05:00 PM EST Reads: 1,301
Skeuomorphism usually means retaining existing design cues in something new that doesn’t actually need them. However, the concept of skeuomorphism can be thought of as relating more broadly to applying existing patterns to new technologies that, in fact, cry out for new approaches. In his session at DevOps Summit, Gordon Haff, Senior Cloud Strategy Marketing and Evangelism Manager at Red Hat, will discuss why containers should be paired with new architectural practices such as microservices ra...
Mar. 2, 2015 04:00 PM EST Reads: 1,516
Roberto Medrano, Executive Vice President at SOA Software, had reached 30,000 page views on his home page - http://RobertoMedrano.SYS-CON.com/ - on the SYS-CON family of online magazines, which includes Cloud Computing Journal, Internet of Things Journal, Big Data Journal, and SOA World Magazine. He is a recognized executive in the information technology fields of SOA, internet security, governance, and compliance. He has extensive experience with both start-ups and large companies, having been ...
Mar. 2, 2015 04:00 PM EST Reads: 1,346
HP and Aruba Networks on Monday announced a definitive agreement for HP to acquire Aruba, a provider of next-generation network access solutions for the mobile enterprise, for $24.67 per share in cash. The equity value of the transaction is approximately $3.0 billion, and net of cash and debt approximately $2.7 billion. Both companies' boards of directors have approved the deal. "Enterprises are facing a mobile-first world and are looking for solutions that help them transition legacy investme...
Mar. 2, 2015 04:00 PM EST Reads: 724
The industrial software market has treated data with the mentality of “collect everything now, worry about how to use it later.” We now find ourselves buried in data, with the pervasive connectivity of the (Industrial) Internet of Things only piling on more numbers. There’s too much data and not enough information. In his session at @ThingsExpo, Bob Gates, Global Marketing Director, GE’s Intelligent Platforms business, to discuss how realizing the power of IoT, software developers are now focu...
Mar. 2, 2015 03:15 PM EST Reads: 1,456
Operational Hadoop and the Lambda Architecture for Streaming Data Apache Hadoop is emerging as a distributed platform for handling large and fast incoming streams of data. Predictive maintenance, supply chain optimization, and Internet-of-Things analysis are examples where Hadoop provides the scalable storage, processing, and analytics platform to gain meaningful insights from granular data that is typically only valuable from a large-scale, aggregate view. One architecture useful for capturing...
Mar. 2, 2015 02:00 PM EST Reads: 1,428
SYS-CON Events announced today that Vitria Technology, Inc. will exhibit at SYS-CON’s @ThingsExpo, which will take place on June 9-11, 2015, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY. Vitria will showcase the company’s new IoT Analytics Platform through live demonstrations at booth #330. Vitria’s IoT Analytics Platform, fully integrated and powered by an operational intelligence engine, enables customers to rapidly build and operationalize advanced analytics to deliver timely business outcomes ...
Mar. 2, 2015 01:45 PM EST Reads: 1,295
DevOps is about increasing efficiency, but nothing is more inefficient than building the same application twice. However, this is a routine occurrence with enterprise applications that need both a rich desktop web interface and strong mobile support. With recent technological advances from Isomorphic Software and others, it is now feasible to create a rich desktop and tuned mobile experience with a single codebase, without compromising performance or usability.
Mar. 2, 2015 01:15 PM EST Reads: 1,218
SYS-CON Events announced today Arista Networks will exhibit at SYS-CON's DevOps Summit 2015 New York, which will take place June 9-11, 2015, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY. Arista Networks was founded to deliver software-driven cloud networking solutions for large data center and computing environments. Arista’s award-winning 10/40/100GbE switches redefine scalability, robustness, and price-performance, with over 3,000 customers and more than three million cloud networking ports depl...
Mar. 2, 2015 01:00 PM EST Reads: 1,600
The speed of software changes in growing and large scale rapid-paced DevOps environments presents a challenge for continuous testing. Many organizations struggle to get this right. Practices that work for small scale continuous testing may not be sufficient as the requirements grow. In his session at DevOps Summit, Marc Hornbeek, Sr. Solutions Architect of DevOps continuous test solutions at Spirent Communications, will explain the best practices of continuous testing at high scale, which is r...
Mar. 2, 2015 01:00 PM EST Reads: 1,287
SYS-CON Events announced today that Open Data Centers (ODC), a carrier-neutral colocation provider, will exhibit at SYS-CON's 16th International Cloud Expo®, which will take place June 9-11, 2015, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY. Open Data Centers is a carrier-neutral data center operator in New Jersey and New York City offering alternative connectivity options for carriers, service providers and enterprise customers.
Mar. 2, 2015 12:00 PM EST Reads: 1,980
Thanks to Docker, it becomes very easy to leverage containers to build, ship, and run any Linux application on any kind of infrastructure. Docker is particularly helpful for microservice architectures because their successful implementation relies on a fast, efficient deployment mechanism – which is precisely one of the features of Docker. Microservice architectures are therefore becoming more popular, and are increasingly seen as an interesting option even for smaller projects, instead of bein...
Mar. 2, 2015 12:00 PM EST Reads: 2,636
The explosion of connected devices / sensors is creating an ever-expanding set of new and valuable data. In parallel the emerging capability of Big Data technologies to store, access, analyze, and react to this data is producing changes in business models under the umbrella of the Internet of Things (IoT). In particular within the Insurance industry, IoT appears positioned to enable deep changes by altering relationships between insurers, distributors, and the insured. In his session at @Things...
Mar. 2, 2015 12:00 PM EST Reads: 1,360