Welcome!

Cloud Expo Authors: Sandi Mappic, Esmeralda Swartz, Carmen Gonzalez, Elizabeth White, Lori MacVittie

Related Topics: Web 2.0, Cloud Expo

Web 2.0: Article

Gartner Hype Cycle 2012 – Emerging Technologies

The most crowded hype cycle on emerging technologies in last 10 years

Here is a summary of the Gartner Hype Cycle for “Emerging Technologies” for 2012 – what is stated explicitly, what can be inferred.

This Hype Cycle is suppose provide insight into emerging technologies that have broad, cross-industry relevance, and are transformational and high impact in potential.

Most crowded hype cycle on emerging technologies in last 10 years

48 technologies are listed in this year’s hype cycle which is the highest in last ten years. Last year they had 42 – year 2008 was the lowest (27) – year 2005 was the previous highest (44).

What does this imply?

May be Gartner is right when it says:

We are at an interesting moment — a time when the scenarios we’ve been talking about for a long time are almost becoming reality.

Which macro trends are stated explicitly in the report?

  • Any Channel, Any Device, Anywhere — Bring Your Own Everything
  • Smarter Things – things are smart and connected to the Internet
  • Big Data and Global-Scale Computing at Small Prices
  • The Human Way to Interact with Technology – speech, gesture etc.
  • What Payment Could Really Become – NFC, Mobile OTA etc.
  • The Voice of the Customer Is on File – making sense of behavior data already available
  • 3D Print It at Home

But if you look closely at the 48 technologies listed in the hype-cycle you will notice that…

It is all about Consumerization and Hyper-connectivity

As you may know, Consumerization of IT describes the trend where technologies are adopted by consumer ahead of enterprise & government.

And

Hyper-connectivity is about connecting everything us-to-internet; things-to-internet; peer-to-peer; consumer-to-enterprise; enterprise-to-enterprise… and so on.

Out of the 48 technologies in the hype-cycle…

…14 are technologies for reaching out or interacting with consumers

  1. Application Stores
  2. Augmented Reality
  3. BYOD
  4. Consumer Telematics
  5. Consumerization
  6. Gamification
  7. Home Health Monitoring
  8. HTML5
  9. Internet TV
  10. Media Tablets
  11. Mobile OTA Payment
  12. NFC
  13. NFC Payment
  14. Virtual Worlds

What is “Consumerization” doing in the list of technologies? It is not a technology – it is a trend.

…8 are about analyzing, understanding and taking advantage of consumer behavior

  1. Activity Streams
  2. Big Data
  3. Complex-Event Processing
  4. Crowdsourcing
  5. In-Memory Analytics
  6. Predictive Analytics
  7. Social Analytics
  8. Text Analytics

…3 are about connecting things

  1. Internet of Things
  2. Machine-to-Machine Communication Services
  3. Mesh Networks: Sensor

Is AI and Robotics nearing the Tipping Point?

For years both AI and Robotics have promised a lot but the reality has been far removed from the promise. Are we finally reaching a stage where we will see all the Sci-Fi turn into reality?

…10 of the technologies listed fall into this category

  1. Audio Mining/Speech Analytics
  2. Automatic Content Recognition
  3. Autonomous Vehicles
  4. Biometric Authentication Methods
  5. Gesture Control
  6. Human Augmentation
  7. Mobile Robots
  8. Natural-Language Question Answering
  9. Speech Recognition
  10. Speech-to-Speech Translation

What about technologies for improving efficiency or for reducing cost?

Even if you consider “Cloud Computing” technologies capable of improving efficiency or reducing cost, you have only…

…6 technologies listed under this category!

  1. Cloud Computing
  2. Hosted Virtual Desktops
  3. Hybrid Cloud Computing
  4. Idea Management
  5. In-Memory Database Management Systems
  6. Private Cloud Computing

Clear indication that we have reached a level of saturation on how much improvement we can achieve by just looking inwards.

Why has “Idea Management” appeared in the hype cycle for last 6 years and “Agile Methodologies” have never found a place?

After all both are process / methodology and you will agree that Agile has much larger impact and adoption than Idea Management.

What about the rest?

This leaves us with only…

…7 miscellaneous technologies – most of them very futuristic in nature

  1. 3D Bio-printing
  2. 3D Printing
  3. 3D Scanners
  4. Quantum Computing
  5. Silicon Anode Batteries
  6. Volumetric and Holographic Displays
  7. Wireless Power

What about the Priority Matrix?

Only technology listed under “Transformational impact in next 2 years” is Media Tablet, which is the term Gartner uses for iPad and other similar tablets.

Big Data, Cloud Computing, Gesture Control and In-Memory DBMS are listed under “Transformational impact in 2 to 5 years”.  “Cloud Computing” is appearing under this category for last 5 years (from 2008). So, it is high time somebody asks the question…

Is the impact of cloud computing ever going to be transformational?

Finally…

How consistent is this year’s hype-cycle compared to previous years?

Year

% of technologies mentioned in the previous year’s hype-cycle

% of technologies mentioned in any in any hype-cycle since 2003

2012

63%

67%

2011

57%

60%

2010

50%

58%

2009

62%

71%

2008

44%

56%

2007

52%

59%

2006

47%

53%

2005

43%

48%

2004

46%

46%

As you can see from this table – it is much more consistent compared to previous years!

Related Articles

More Stories By Udayan Banerjee

Udayan Banerjee is CTO at NIIT Technologies Ltd, an IT industry veteran with more than 30 years' experience. He blogs at http://setandbma.wordpress.com.
The blog focuses on emerging technologies like cloud computing, mobile computing, social media aka web 2.0 etc. It also contains stuff about agile methodology and trends in architecture. It is a world view seen through the lens of a software service provider based out of Bangalore and serving clients across the world. The focus is mostly on...

  • Keep the hype out and project a realistic picture
  • Uncover trends not very apparent
  • Draw conclusion from real life experience
  • Point out fallacy & discrepancy when I see them
  • Talk about trends which I find interesting
Google

@CloudExpo Stories
The Internet of Things will greatly expand the opportunities for data collection and new business models driven off of that data. In her session at Internet of @ThingsExpo, Esmeralda Swartz, CMO of MetraTech, will discuss how for this to be effective you not only need to have infrastructure and operational models capable of utilizing this new phenomenon, but increasingly service providers will need to convince a skeptical public to participate. Get ready to show them the money! Speaker Bio: ...
Compute virtualization has been transformational, yet security policy implementation and enforcement has lagged behind in agility and automation. There are a number of key considerations when implementing policy in private and hybrid clouds. In his session at 15th Cloud Expo, Holland Barry, VP of Technology at Catbird, will discuss the impact of this new paradigm and what organizations can do today to safely move to software-defined network and compute architectures, including: How normal ope...
Samsung VP Jacopo Lenzi, who headed the company's recent SmartThings acquisition under the auspices of Samsung's Open Innovaction Center (OIC), answered a few questions we had about the deal. This interview was in conjunction with our interview with SmartThings CEO Alex Hawkinson. IoT Journal: SmartThings was developed in an open, standards-agnostic platform, and will now be part of Samsung's Open Innovation Center. Can you elaborate on your commitment to keep the platform open? Jacopo Lenzi: S...
How do APIs and IoT relate? The answer is not as simple as merely adding an API on top of a dumb device, but rather about understanding the architectural patterns for implementing an IoT fabric. There are typically two or three trends: Exposing the device to a management framework Exposing that management framework to a business centric logic • Exposing that business layer and data to end users. This last trend is the IoT stack, which involves a new shift in the separation of what stuff hap...
SYS-CON Events announced today that SOA Software, an API management leader, will exhibit at SYS-CON's 15th International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on November 4–6, 2014, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. SOA Software is a leading provider of API Management and SOA Governance products that equip business to deliver APIs and SOA together to drive their company to meet its business strategy quickly and effectively. SOA Software’s technology helps businesses to accel...
SYS-CON Events announced today that Utimaco will exhibit at SYS-CON's 15th International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on November 4–6, 2014, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. Utimaco is a leading manufacturer of hardware based security solutions that provide the root of trust to keep cryptographic keys safe, secure critical digital infrastructures and protect high value data assets. Only Utimaco delivers a general-purpose hardware security module (HSM) as a customiz...
Almost everyone sees the potential of Internet of Things but how can businesses truly unlock that potential. The key will be in the ability to discover business insight in the midst of an ocean of Big Data generated from billions of embedded devices via Systems of Discover. Businesses will also need to ensure that they can sustain that insight by leveraging the cloud for global reach, scale and elasticity.
SYS-CON Events announced today that ElasticBox is holding a Hackathon at DevOps Summit, November 6 from 12 pm -4 pm at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. You can enter as an individual or team of up to 10 developers. A New Star Is Born Every Month! All completed ElasticBoxes will then be sent to a judging panel - 12 winners will be featured on the ElasticBox website in 2015. All entrants will receive five full enterprise licenses for one year + ElasticBox headphones + Elasti...
Once the decision has been made to move part or all of a workload to the cloud, a methodology for selecting that workload needs to be established. How do you move to the cloud? What does the discovery, assessment and planning look like? What workloads make sense? Which cloud model makes sense for each workload? What are the considerations for how to select the right cloud model? And how does that fit in with the overall IT tranformation? In his session at 15th Cloud Expo, John Hatem, head of V...
Cloud services are the newest tool in the arsenal of IT products in the market today. These cloud services integrate process and tools. In order to use these products effectively, organizations must have a good understanding of themselves and their business requirements. In his session at 15th Cloud Expo, Brian Lewis, Principal Architect at Verizon Cloud, will outline key areas of organizational focus, and how to formalize an actionable plan when migrating applications and internal services to...
SAP is delivering break-through innovation combined with fantastic user experience powered by the market-leading in-memory technology, SAP HANA. In his General Session at 15th Cloud Expo, Thorsten Leiduck, VP ISVs & Digital Commerce, SAP, will discuss how SAP and partners provide cloud and hybrid cloud solutions as well as real-time Big Data offerings that help companies of all sizes and industries run better. SAP launched an application challenge to award the most innovative SAP HANA and SAP ...
Ixia develops amazing products so its customers can connect the world. Ixia helps its customers provide an always-on user experience through fast, secure delivery of dynamic connected technologies and services. Through actionable insights that accelerate and secure application and service delivery, Ixia's customers benefit from faster time to market, optimized application performance and higher-quality deployments.
SYS-CON Events announced today that Calm.io has been named “Bronze Sponsor” of DevOps Summit Silicon Valley, which will take place on November 4–6, 2014, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. Calm.io is a cloud orchestration platform for AWS, vCenter, OpenStack, or bare metal, that runs your CL tools puppet, Chef, shell, git, Jenkins, nagios, and will soon support New Relic and Docker. It can run hosted, or on premise and provides VM automation / expiry, self-service portals,...
In her General Session at 15th Cloud Expo, Anne Plese, Senior Consultant, Cloud Product Marketing, at Verizon Enterprise, will focus on finding the right mix of renting vs. buying Oracle capacity to scale to meet business demands, and offer validated Oracle database TCO models for Oracle development and testing environments. Anne Plese is a marketing and technology enthusiast/realist with over 19+ years in high tech. At Verizon Enterprise, she focuses on driving growth for the Verizon Cloud pla...
SYS-CON Events announced today that Aria Systems, the recurring revenue expert, has been named "Bronze Sponsor" of SYS-CON's 15th International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on November 4-6, 2014, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. Aria Systems helps leading businesses connect their customers with the products and services they love. Industry leaders like Pitney Bowes, Experian, AAA NCNU, VMware, HootSuite and many others choose Aria to power their recurring revenue bu...
The Internet of Things (IoT) is going to require a new way of thinking and of developing software for speed, security and innovation. This requires IT leaders to balance business as usual while anticipating for the next market and technology trends. Cloud provides the right IT asset portfolio to help today’s IT leaders manage the old and prepare for the new. Today the cloud conversation is evolving from private and public to hybrid. This session will provide use cases and insights to reinforce t...
As Platform as a Service (PaaS) matures as a category, developers should have the ability to use the programming language of their choice to build applications and have access to a wide array of services. Bluemix is IBM's open cloud development platform that enables users to easily build cloud-based, creative mobile and web applications without having to spend large amounts of time and resources on configuring infrastructure and multiple software licenses. In this track, you will learn about the...
Blue Box has closed a $10 million Series B financing. The round was led by a strategic investor and included participation from prior investors including Voyager Capital and Founders Collective, as well as the Blue Box executive team. This round follows a $4.3 million Series A closed in December of 2012 and led by Voyager Capital. In May of this year, the company announced general availability of its private cloud as a service offering, Blue Box Cloud. Since that release, the company has dem...
SYS-CON Events announced today that Verizon has been named "Gold Sponsor" of SYS-CON's 15th International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on November 4-6, 2014, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. Verizon Enterprise Solutions creates global connections that generate growth, drive business innovation and move society forward. With industry-specific solutions and a full range of global wholesale offerings provided over the company's secure mobility, cloud, strategic network...
SimpleECM is the only platform to offer a powerful combination of enterprise content management (ECM) services, capture solutions, and third-party business services providing simplified integrations and workflow development for solution providers. SimpleECM is opening the market to businesses of all sizes by reinventing the delivery of ECM services. Our APIs make the development of ECM services simple with the use of familiar technologies for a frictionless integration directly into web applicat...