Click here to close now.




















Welcome!

@CloudExpo Authors: Pat Romanski, Kevin Jackson, Hurricane Labs, Jim Taylor, Mike Kavis

Related Topics: @CloudExpo, Java IoT, Microservices Expo, Containers Expo Blog, @BigDataExpo, SDN Journal, OpenStack Journal

@CloudExpo: Article

ZapThink’s 2013 Retrospective and Predictions for 2014

Jason Bloomberg's Final ZapFlash

At last, the moment has arrived: the thirteenth and final installment of ZapThink’s annual retrospective and predictions written by one of ZapThink’s original members. ZapThink will live on as a division of Dovel Technologies, and I will continue my thought leadership at an as yet unselected opportunity, so in a year’s time, you may see the fourteenth installment of this annual tradition. But for today, let’s score ourselves one last time on last year’s predictions and make three new ones for 2014.

2012’s Predictions for 2013

Cloudwashing reaches a level of desperation. We predicted increasing levels of obfuscation relating to vendors’ supposed Cloud offerings, as well as condemnations of Public Clouds and a few vendor flameouts. We’ll give ourselves a full point on this one. Yes, there’s no question that the vendors and service providers in the Cloud marketplace have made great strides in putting together real offerings that actually work. But the fact remains that there is more smoke and mirrors than ever. Furthermore, the stories of turmoil at key vendors have colored the Cloud marketplace, as the likes of VMware, Dell, and Oracle continue to reorganize internally and revamp marketing externally to grasp the brass ring as the carousel goes around ever faster. And as for vendor flameouts? One word: Nirvanix.

Next generation SOA begins to coalesce. As organizations move away from heavyweight, middleware-centric, first generation SOA, they look forward to lightweight, RESTful, Cloud-friendly approaches to SOA that redefine the role Services play in the enterprise. ZapThink nailed this one as well, only the new catchphrase for next-generation SOA is the API Economy. Today’s definition of API, after all, is an update of the notion of Service, where the added bits are those next-generation aspects that make today’s APIs lightweight and Cloud-friendly. Are we concerned people don’t call the API Economy SOA? Of course not. As I’ve said for years in the Licensed ZapThink Architect course, it doesn’t matter what you call it, what matters is that you’re using the right tool to solve the problems of the business.

Cyber-9/11: some kind of Cyberattack so remarkable and unexpected that it changes the way the world looks at the ongoing Cyberwar. We’re going out on a limb of sorts to give ourselves 100% on this one as well, even though the event that qualifies wasn’t the kind of Cyber-9/11 we were expecting: the NSA spying scandal. I must admit that I didn’t foresee the US government as the perpetrator, but we predicted an unexpected attack, and the NSA news was unquestionably unexpected. And there’s no doubt that Edward Snowden’s revelations about the extent of the NSA’s shenanigans has changed the way the world looks at Cybersecurity.

ZapThink’s Predictions for 2014

Three for three: a perfect score! Perhaps our crystal ball didn’t take enough risks. Well, I won’t be the one reviewing the score in twelve months, so there’s no reason not to give the old ball a little extra polish.

OpenStack will implode. Yes, the OpenStack initiative has many different projects that must work together seamlessly. Yes, the OpenStack team is unusually large for an open source effort, with an eclectic mix of large and small players. But it’s not the ambitiousness of the initiative nor “too many chefs” problem that will do OpenStack in. Instead, I predict that it will succumb to a kind of innovation paralysis.

Many of OpenStack’s core architectural decisions were made quite early in the maturation of Cloud Computing. The team has committed perhaps millions of lines of code in the intervening time. But the Cloud hasn’t been waiting, as innovation in other areas continues at a rapid pace. It’s just a matter of time before the OpenStack digerati lift their eyes from their keyboards and look around, and see that perhaps it makes sense to build a Cloud orchestration platform quite differently than what OpenStack will have become.

Innovation doesn’t happen in straight lines. It involves false starts and dead ends, new ideas triumphing over old, only to be vanquished in turn by further rounds of even better ideas. OpenStack hasn’t weathered this storm of innovation sufficiently. How to build something better than OpenStack? We may not have the answer yet, but rest assured, someone will come up with one or two soon.

Next-generation PaaS will coalesce. As the least mature of the three core Cloud service models, Platform-as-a-Service is a tumultuous marketplace. The players in this space, from Salesforce Heroku to Google App Engine to Dell Boomi, offer a remarkable diversity of features and capabilities. But they all suffer from the “horseless carriage” syndrome: taking an existing approach and sticking it in the Cloud. Take development, stick it in the Cloud. Take QA and deployment, stick them in the Cloud. Take integration, or perhaps B2B integration, put it in the Cloud as well.

In contrast, what characterizes next-generation PaaS are offerings that are fundamentally different from corresponding on-premise offerings, if calling out such a correspondence is a coherent notion in the first place. Completely rework the notion of integration by leveraging the Cloud. Turn the world of Business Process Management on its head with the Cloud. Rewrite the book on Master Data Management with the Cloud. Or better yet: how about all three at once?

Once again, Cyber-9/11. Yes, the NSA revelations were unexpected and transformative. But I’m still waiting for that offensive Cyberattack, one so devastating and unexpected that it shifts government policies across the globe and throws traditional private sector Cybersecurity measures into chaos. Will 2014 be the year of this event? Perhaps, perhaps not. But if you’re not prepared for an imminent Cyber-9/11, then you’re simply not prepared at all.

The ZapThink Take
What to put in the final paragraph I write as ZapThink, after a dozen years? Thank yous, of course.

Thanks first to Ron Schmelzer, ZapThink founder and partner for ZapThink’s first decade, for such a wild ride. Thanks as well to Paul Leslie, Dov and Elma Levy, and the rest of the folks at Dovel Technologies, for giving ZapThink a good home and for simply being such decent people. Thanks to the over 1,700 Licensed ZapThink Architects and hundreds of other students who took our classes over the years. Thanks to our clients for trusting us to give you good advice and plenty of tough love when you deserved it. And last but definitely not least, thank you to all the people who pinned our posters on your walls, all the readers of this ZapFlash and our other thought leadership, simply for giving us your attention! We couldn’t have done it without you.

Image credit: Mark Skipper

More Stories By Jason Bloomberg

Jason Bloomberg is the leading expert on architecting agility for the enterprise. As president of Intellyx, Mr. Bloomberg brings his years of thought leadership in the areas of Cloud Computing, Enterprise Architecture, and Service-Oriented Architecture to a global clientele of business executives, architects, software vendors, and Cloud service providers looking to achieve technology-enabled business agility across their organizations and for their customers. His latest book, The Agile Architecture Revolution (John Wiley & Sons, 2013), sets the stage for Mr. Bloomberg’s groundbreaking Agile Architecture vision.

Mr. Bloomberg is perhaps best known for his twelve years at ZapThink, where he created and delivered the Licensed ZapThink Architect (LZA) SOA course and associated credential, certifying over 1,700 professionals worldwide. He is one of the original Managing Partners of ZapThink LLC, the leading SOA advisory and analysis firm, which was acquired by Dovel Technologies in 2011. He now runs the successor to the LZA program, the Bloomberg Agile Architecture Course, around the world.

Mr. Bloomberg is a frequent conference speaker and prolific writer. He has published over 500 articles, spoken at over 300 conferences, Webinars, and other events, and has been quoted in the press over 1,400 times as the leading expert on agile approaches to architecture in the enterprise.

Mr. Bloomberg’s previous book, Service Orient or Be Doomed! How Service Orientation Will Change Your Business (John Wiley & Sons, 2006, coauthored with Ron Schmelzer), is recognized as the leading business book on Service Orientation. He also co-authored the books XML and Web Services Unleashed (SAMS Publishing, 2002), and Web Page Scripting Techniques (Hayden Books, 1996).

Prior to ZapThink, Mr. Bloomberg built a diverse background in eBusiness technology management and industry analysis, including serving as a senior analyst in IDC’s eBusiness Advisory group, as well as holding eBusiness management positions at USWeb/CKS (later marchFIRST) and WaveBend Solutions (now Hitachi Consulting).

@CloudExpo Stories
Container technology is sending shock waves through the world of cloud computing. Heralded as the 'next big thing,' containers provide software owners a consistent way to package their software and dependencies while infrastructure operators benefit from a standard way to deploy and run them. Containers present new challenges for tracking usage due to their dynamic nature. They can also be deployed to bare metal, virtual machines and various cloud platforms. How do software owners track the usag...
SYS-CON Events announced today that MobiDev, a software development company, will exhibit at the 17th International Cloud Expo®, which will take place November 3–5, 2015, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. MobiDev is a software development company with representative offices in Atlanta (US), Sheffield (UK) and Würzburg (Germany); and development centers in Ukraine. Since 2009 it has grown from a small group of passionate engineers and business managers to a full-scale mobi...
With SaaS use rampant across organizations, how can IT departments track company data and maintain security? More and more departments are commissioning their own solutions and bypassing IT. A cloud environment is amorphous and powerful, allowing you to set up solutions for all of your user needs: document sharing and collaboration, mobile access, e-mail, even industry-specific applications. In his session at 16th Cloud Expo, Shawn Mills, President and a founder of Green House Data, discussed h...
There are many considerations when moving applications from on-premise to cloud. It is critical to understand the benefits and also challenges of this migration. A successful migration will result in lower Total Cost of Ownership, yet offer the same or higher level of robustness. In his session at 15th Cloud Expo, Michael Meiner, an Engineering Director at Oracle, Corporation, analyzed a range of cloud offerings (IaaS, PaaS, SaaS) and discussed the benefits/challenges of migrating to each offe...
One of the hottest areas in cloud right now is DRaaS and related offerings. In his session at 16th Cloud Expo, Dale Levesque, Disaster Recovery Product Manager with Windstream's Cloud and Data Center Marketing team, will discuss the benefits of the cloud model, which far outweigh the traditional approach, and how enterprises need to ensure that their needs are properly being met.
In their session at 17th Cloud Expo, Hal Schwartz, CEO of Secure Infrastructure & Services (SIAS), and Chuck Paolillo, CTO of Secure Infrastructure & Services (SIAS), provide a study of cloud adoption trends and the power and flexibility of IBM Power and Pureflex cloud solutions. In his role as CEO of Secure Infrastructure & Services (SIAS), Hal Schwartz provides leadership and direction for the company.
"We've just seen a huge influx of new partners coming into our ecosystem, and partners building unique offerings on top of our API set," explained Seth Bostock, Chief Executive Officer at IndependenceIT, in this SYS-CON.tv interview at 16th Cloud Expo, held June 9-11, 2015, at the Javits Center in New York City.
SYS-CON Events announced today that HPM Networks will exhibit at the 17th International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on November 3–5, 2015, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. For 20 years, HPM Networks has been integrating technology solutions that solve complex business challenges. HPM Networks has designed solutions for both SMB and enterprise customers throughout the San Francisco Bay Area.
The Software Defined Data Center (SDDC), which enables organizations to seamlessly run in a hybrid cloud model (public + private cloud), is here to stay. IDC estimates that the software-defined networking market will be valued at $3.7 billion by 2016. Security is a key component and benefit of the SDDC, and offers an opportunity to build security 'from the ground up' and weave it into the environment from day one. In his session at 16th Cloud Expo, Reuven Harrison, CTO and Co-Founder of Tufin,...
Mobile, social, Big Data, and cloud have fundamentally changed the way we live. “Anytime, anywhere” access to data and information is no longer a luxury; it’s a requirement, in both our personal and professional lives. For IT organizations, this means pressure has never been greater to deliver meaningful services to the business and customers.
The Internet of Everything (IoE) brings together people, process, data and things to make networked connections more relevant and valuable than ever before – transforming information into knowledge and knowledge into wisdom. IoE creates new capabilities, richer experiences, and unprecedented opportunities to improve business and government operations, decision making and mission support capabilities.
Chuck Piluso presented a study of cloud adoption trends and the power and flexibility of IBM Power and Pureflex cloud solutions. Prior to Secure Infrastructure and Services, Mr. Piluso founded North American Telecommunication Corporation, a facilities-based Competitive Local Exchange Carrier licensed by the Public Service Commission in 10 states, serving as the company's chairman and president from 1997 to 2000. Between 1990 and 1997, Mr. Piluso served as chairman & founder of International Te...
Explosive growth in connected devices. Enormous amounts of data for collection and analysis. Critical use of data for split-second decision making and actionable information. All three are factors in making the Internet of Things a reality. Yet, any one factor would have an IT organization pondering its infrastructure strategy. How should your organization enhance its IT framework to enable an Internet of Things implementation? In his session at @ThingsExpo, James Kirkland, Red Hat's Chief Arch...
Malicious agents are moving faster than the speed of business. Even more worrisome, most companies are relying on legacy approaches to security that are no longer capable of meeting current threats. In the modern cloud, threat diversity is rapidly expanding, necessitating more sophisticated security protocols than those used in the past or in desktop environments. Yet companies are falling for cloud security myths that were truths at one time but have evolved out of existence.
Digital Transformation is the ultimate goal of cloud computing and related initiatives. The phrase is certainly not a precise one, and as subject to hand-waving and distortion as any high-falutin' terminology in the world of information technology. Yet it is an excellent choice of words to describe what enterprise IT—and by extension, organizations in general—should be working to achieve. Digital Transformation means: handling all the data types being found and created in the organizat...
Public Cloud IaaS started its life in the developer and startup communities and has grown rapidly to a $20B+ industry, but it still pales in comparison to how much is spent worldwide on IT: $3.6 trillion. In fact, there are 8.6 million data centers worldwide, the reality is many small and medium sized business have server closets and colocation footprints filled with servers and storage gear. While on-premise environment virtualization may have peaked at 75%, the Public Cloud has lagged in adop...
The time is ripe for high speed resilient software defined storage solutions with unlimited scalability. ISS has been working with the leading open source projects and developed a commercial high performance solution that is able to grow forever without performance limitations. In his session at Cloud Expo, Alex Gorbachev, President of Intelligent Systems Services Inc., shared foundation principles of Ceph architecture, as well as the design to deliver this storage to traditional SAN storage co...
MuleSoft has announced the findings of its 2015 Connectivity Benchmark Report on the adoption and business impact of APIs. The findings suggest traditional businesses are quickly evolving into "composable enterprises" built out of hundreds of connected software services, applications and devices. Most are embracing the Internet of Things (IoT) and microservices technologies like Docker. A majority are integrating wearables, like smart watches, and more than half plan to generate revenue with ...
The Cloud industry has moved from being more than just being able to provide infrastructure and management services on the Cloud. Enter a new era of Cloud computing where monetization’s services through the Cloud are an essential piece of strategy to feed your organizations bottom-line, your revenue and Profitability. In their session at 16th Cloud Expo, Ermanno Bonifazi, CEO & Founder of Solgenia, and Ian Khan, Global Strategic Positioning & Brand Manager at Solgenia, discussed how to easily o...
The speed of software changes in growing and large scale rapid-paced DevOps environments presents a challenge for continuous testing. Many organizations struggle to get this right. Practices that work for small scale continuous testing may not be sufficient as the requirements grow. In his session at DevOps Summit, Marc Hornbeek, Sr. Solutions Architect of DevOps continuous test solutions at Spirent Communications, explained the best practices of continuous testing at high scale, which is rele...